The Monty Halls Problem
Updated: Jun 17, 2022
The Monty Halls problem is a kind of game theory. Its game's rule is like this:
First, the game judge shows you three doors. There is a car in one door, and there are goats in the other two doors.
Second, you choose a door, and then the judge will open one door that has a goat in there, and ask you whether you want to change your choice.
Third, the judge will show you whether there is a car in the door that you choose or not, if there is a car in the door that you choose, you in, if there is a goat in the door that you choose, you lose.
Will you change your choice, or not?
Answer: You should change your choice because you will have more chance of winning.
Why:
If you do not change your choice, you will have a 1/3 chance of winning.
V->door that you choose
X->door that you do not choose
| car | goat 1 | goat 2 |
first | V | X | X |
second | X | V | X |
third | X | X | V |
If you change your choice, you will have a 2/3 chance of winning.
V->door that you choose
VX->door that you originally choose
X->door that you do not choose
| car | goat1 | goat2 |
first | VX | X | V |
second | V | VX | X |
third | V | X | VX |
Further extensions:
What are the amounts of goats and cars are different?
My programming:
output:
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